How Accurate Are Vegas Odds In Sports Betting?

More accurate than you think. Just look at college football odds. Have you ever seen a college game where the spread is 2 1/2 and the plus-minus is 74? And the final is 38-36 in triple overtime?

More accurate than you think. Just look at college football odds. Have you ever seen a college game where the spread is 2 1/2 and the plus-minus is 74? And the final is 38-36 in triple overtime?

Odds or spreads?

More accurate than you think. Just look at college football odds. Have you ever seen a college game where the spread is 2 1/2 and the plus-minus is 74? And the final is 38-36 in triple overtime?

Varies depending on proximity to start of play, type of bet, sports betting and sport, but generally quite accurate. Fence lines on Bookmaker / BetOnline / Matchbook / Pinnacle are the most accurate. The opening lines set by real oddsmakers in the early books are the least accurate, which is why the maximum bet allowed is lower when the line is first opened and why there is line movement between this moment and the beginning of the game. . Prop bet lines are less precise than spreads, moneylines and totals.
There is usually not much line movement, so the advantages available to win are small, especially when you increase the bets. A bettor’s objective is basically to close out a bet at a price that turns out to be better than the closing line with no vig in the precise books. Every time you do this, you’ve probably made a +EV bet. Keep in mind that when you bet on a spread bet placing -110, even if you make a +EV bet, you still only have 53-55% to win (ignoring pushes) unless you don’t. have an exceptionally good deal (e.g. you have already bet on Team A, then Team B’s QB is injured in practice, moving the line 7 points). So anyone talking about “locks” probably has no idea.

They are perfectly precise.
If the odds say you need to bet 150 to win 100 on the favorite… then that is exactly what you need to bet if you go to this casino.

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